Forecast Validation
2026 Plan vs Actual
Sourced from the ’26 budget file (2+10 reforecast). Closed months compare to live Shopify actuals; open months show the run-rate required to hit plan.
2026 Reforecast
$72.10M
AG Main (agjeans.com)
2025 Actual
$62.42M
+15.5%vs reforecast
YTD Actual (thru May)
$34.83M
+31.6%vs YTD forecast
Required run-rate
$6.52M
per month, Jun–Dec
AG Main (agjeans.com) — Demand (ex shipping & tax)
Forecast vs comparison vs actual (closed months)
Cumulative pacing
Running totals show whether the year is tracking to plan
Monthly feasibility
Closed months: green = at or above plan, amber = within 5% miss, red = > 5% short
| Month | Forecast | Actual | Δ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | $4.40M | $6.11M | +39.0% | ● On plan |
| Feb | $4.31M | $5.53M | +28.2% | ● On plan |
| Mar | $7.51M | $10.81M | +44.0% | ● On plan |
| Apr | $5.19M | $6.34M | +22.1% | ● On plan |
| May | $5.06M | $6.04M | +19.3% | ● On plan |
| Jun | $4.08M | — | — | — |
| Jul | $4.99M | — | — | — |
| Aug | $4.17M | — | — | — |
| Sep | $7.91M | — | — | — |
| Oct | $5.88M | — | — | — |
| Nov | $8.90M | — | — | — |
| Dec | $9.69M | — | — | — |
Notes
- • Forecast figures are taken directly from the latest 2+10 reforecast tab of the eCom Budget file.
- • Actuals are 2026 daily gross sales from the loaded Shopify export; only AG Main daily data is in the system today. Upload AGO daily sales on the Data Upload page to enable AGO actual comparisons.
- • "Required run-rate" is the average monthly demand needed across remaining months to hit the full-year reforecast — use this against the upcoming email calendar to judge whether planned sends can carry that demand.